Mondrian's Blog

[Stephynbouby]

Today, there are 3 tips:

The first, Double Shuffle, runs in the 3:45 at Ayr. Only lay it to lose if the odds, close to the off are less than or equal to 3/1.

The second, Ron's Dream, runs in the 4:45 at Ayr. Only lay it to lose if the odds, close to the off are less than or equal to 3/1.

The third, Warrantor, runs in the 5:40 at Southwell. Only lay it to lose if the odds, close to the off are less than 15/8.

Double Shuffle was sent off at 11/4 and so was a bet. It came nowhere and we won our bet.

Ron's Dream was sent off at 2/1 and so was a bet. It won and we lost our bet.

Warrantor was sent off at 6/4 and so was a bet. It came 2nd and we won our bet.

Here's the stats based on Value:

Number of Tips: 45
Number of No Bets: 26

Winning Bets: 13
Losing Bets: 6

Strike Rate: 68.42%

Profit/Loss: -£0.23

Return on Investment: -1.21%

Here's the stats based ignoring value:

Number of Tips: 45

Winning Bets: 33
Losing Bets: 12

Strike Rate: 73.33%

Profit/Loss: -£1.64

Return on Investment: -3.64%

This assumes laying for a liability of £1 at exchange odds and 5% commission paid on winnings.

Ignoring value, we make a loss of 3.64%

Not ignoring value gives a loss of 1.21%

It's still early days with the system.

On the morrow, malchicks.

[Stephynbouby]

Teacher: Johnny, why are you late?

Johnny: I had to take the bull to the cows, Miss.

Teacher: Well couldn't your father do that?

Johnny: Er, no Miss, you do need a bull.

[Stephynbouby]

There is 1 selection today. It runs at Ayr in the 4:45 race. It is Arbre De Vie. If the odds, close to the off are less than 3/1, then lay the horse to lose. Otherwise, leave the horse alone.

As usual, I'll post the results after the race.

[Stephynbouby]

There is 1 selection today. It runs at Ayr in the 4:45 race. It is Arbre De Vie. If the odds, close to the off are less than 3/1, then lay the horse to lose. Otherwise, leave the horse alone.

As usual, I'll post the results after the race.

Arbre De Vie was sent off at 3/1 and so was a no bet. Pity because it came 3rd and we would have won our bet.

Here's the stats based on Value

Number of Tips: 46
Number of No Bets: 27

Winning Bets: 13
Losing Bets: 6

Strike Rate: 68.42%

Profit/Loss: -£0.23

Return on Investment: -1.21%

Here's the stats based ignoring value:

Number of Tips: 46

Winning Bets: 34
Losing Bets: 12

Strike Rate: 73.91%

Profit/Loss: -£1.36

Return on Investment: -2.96%

This assumes laying for a liability of £1 at exchange odds and 5% commission paid on winnings.

Ignoring value, we make a loss of 2.96%

Not ignoring value gives a loss of 1.21%

It's still early days with the system.

On the morrow, malchicks.

[Stephynbouby]

A man goes into a sandwich bar and says "How much are your cheese rolls?"

The girls behind the counter said: "2 for a Pound".

The man said, "How much for 1?".

"75 pence" said the girl.

"I'll have the other one", said the man.

[Stephynbouby]

There are no selections today.

Also, from this small test, it should now be evident that obtaining value is absolutely crucial and that without it, one cannot win. As such, I no longer will include the stats associated with bets where value is ignored.

On the morrow, malchicks.

[Stephynbouby]

Patient: Doctor, I keep thinking that I'm Tom Jones.

Doctor: It's not unusual.

[Stephynbouby]

There is 1 selection today. It runs at Hexam in the 2:30 race. It is Mungos Debut. If the odds, close to the off are 3/1 or less, then lay the horse to lose. Otherwise, leave the horse alone.

As usual, I'll post the results after the race.

[Stephynbouby]

There is 1 selection today. It runs at Hexam in the 2:30 race. It is Mungos Debut. If the odds, close to the off are 3/1 or less, then lay the horse to lose. Otherwise, leave the horse alone.

As usual, I'll post the results after the race.

Mumgos Debut was sent off at 9/2 and so was a no bet. Pity because it came 3rd and we would have won our bet.

Number of Tips: 47
Number of No Bets: 28

Winning Bets: 13
Losing Bets: 6

Strike Rate: 68.42%

Profit/Loss: -£0.23

Return on Investment: -1.21%

It's still early days with the system.

On the morrow, malchicks.

[Stephynbouby]

Error

[Stephynbouby]

It was late. God and Jesus were about to go to their respective beds for the night when there was a knock on the Pearly Gates.

God: Get that would you Jesus.

Jesus went down stairs and shouted 'Who is it?'

'It's me' came the reply.

Jesus said 'Who's me?'

'Hitler' came the reply.

Jesus: 'What do you want?

Hitler: 'Can I come in?'.

Jesus: 'No. It's late. Come back in the morning.'

Hitler: 'If I can come in, I'll give you an Iron Cross.'

God: 'Jesus, who is it?'

Jesus: 'Hitler'.

God: 'What does he want?'

Jesus: 'To come in'.

God: 'Tell him no.'

Jesus: 'Hitler said that he'll give me an Iron Cross if I let him in'.

God: 'Iron Cross? IRON CROSS? We gave you a wooden one and look how that ended!!'

[Stephynbouby]

There is 1 selection today. It runs at Wolverhampton in the 3:20 race. It is Indira. If the odds, close to the off are less than 3/1, then lay the horse to lose. Otherwise, leave the horse alone.

As usual, I'll post the results after the race.

[Stephynbouby]

There is 1 selection today. It runs at Wolverhampton in the 3:20 race. It is Indira. If the odds, close to the off are less than 3/1, then lay the horse to lose. Otherwise, leave the horse alone.

As usual, I'll post the results after the race.

Indira was sent off at 4/1 and so was a no bet. Pity because it came 2nd and we would have won our bet.

Number of Tips: 48
Number of No Bets: 29

Winning Bets: 13
Losing Bets: 6

Strike Rate: 68.42%

Profit/Loss: -£0.23

Return on Investment: -1.21%

It's still early days with the system.

On the morrow, malchicks.

[Stephynbouby]

A guy was on his way to the pub when he was stopped by a nun who said “Do not go into that den of iniquity. Alcohol is the work of devil. It is his way of getting you to succumb to his will”. The man said ‘You have no idea what you are talking about’. ‘But think’, said the nun, ‘what the evil drink is doing to your body’. ‘Look’, said the man, ‘you are a nun. You have never had a drink in your life. You know not what you talk about. Maybe if you had a drink, you would think differently’. ‘That may be true’, said the nun. ‘Let me buy you a drink’ said the man, ‘then you can give me guidance.’ ‘Alright’, said the nun ‘but what would I have?’. ‘A gin’, said the man. ‘Alright’, said the nun, ‘I’ll have a gin, but I can’t go into the den of iniquity so you will have to bring it out to me and, I can’t be seen drinking it so you will have to bring it to me in a tea cup’.

The man went into the pub and said to the landlord, ‘A pint and a gin, please, and oh’ said the man, ‘can you put the gin in a cup, please’.

‘Oh’, said the landlord, ‘is that bloody nun hanging about outside the pub again?

[Stephynbouby]

There are no selections today.

On the morrow, malchicks.