Mondrian's Blog

[Stephynbouby]

Today's selection runs in the 2:00 race at Lingfield and is Baileys Mirage. If it's odds close to the off are less than 11/8, lay it to lose.

As usual, I will post the results after the race.

And Baileys Mirage drifts out to 5/2 and therefore was a no bet. Fortunately it won and we would have lost our bet.

Here's the stats based on Value:

Number of Tips: 39
Number of No Bets: 25

Winning Bets: 11
Losing Bets: 3

Strike Rate: 78.57%

Profit/Loss: +£1.89

Return on Investment: +13.50%

Here's the stats based ignoring value:

Number of Tips: 39

Winning Bets: 30
Losing Bets: 9

Strike Rate: 76.92%

Profit/Loss: +£0.24

Return on Investment: +0.61%

This assumes laying for a liability of £1 at exchange odds and 5% commission paid on winnings.

Ignoring value, we make a profit of 0.61%

Not ignoring value gives a profit of 13.50%

On the morrow, malchicks.

[Stephynbouby]

Today's selection runs in the 3:40 race at Ffos Las and is Cloudy Copper. If it's odds close to the off are less than 3/1, lay it to lose.

As usual, I will post the results after the race.

[Stephynbouby]

Today's selection runs in the 3:40 race at Ffos Las and is Cloudy Copper. If it's odds close to the off are less than 3/1, lay it to lose.

As usual, I will post the results after the race.

And Cloudy Copper gets sent off the 5/2 favourite and was therefore a bet. Unfortunately it won and we lost our bet.

Here's the stats based on Value:

Number of Tips: 40
Number of No Bets: 25

Winning Bets: 11
Losing Bets: 4

Strike Rate: 73.33%

Profit/Loss: +£0.89

Return on Investment: +5.94%

Here's the stats based ignoring value:

Number of Tips: 40

Winning Bets: 30
Losing Bets: 10

Strike Rate: 75.00%

Profit/Loss: -£0.76

Return on Investment: -1.90%

This assumes laying for a liability of £1 at exchange odds and 5% commission paid on winnings.

Ignoring value, we make a profit of -1.90%

Not ignoring value gives a profit of 5.94%

On the morrow, malchicks.

_________________
I may not be in hell - but I can see it from here.

[Stephynbouby]

There are no selections today.

On the morrow malchicks.

[Stephynbouby]

Q. What do you call someone who hangs around with a band but doesn't know anything about music?

A. The drummer.

[Stephynbouby]

Today's selection runs in the 5:30 race at Southwell and is Teenage Dream. If it's odds close to the off are 3/1 or less, lay it to lose. Otherwise, ignore the horse.

As usual, I will post the results after the race.

[Stephynbouby]

Today's selection runs in the 5:30 race at Southwell and is Teenage Dream. If it's odds close to the off are 3/1 or less, lay it to lose. Otherwise, ignore the horse.

As usual, I will post the results after the race.

And Teenage Dream gets sent off the 7/2 second favourite and was therefore a no bet. Unfortunately it came 3rd and we would have won our bet.

Here's the stats based on Value:

Number of Tips: 41
Number of No Bets: 26

Winning Bets: 11
Losing Bets: 4

Strike Rate: 73.33%

Profit/Loss: +£0.89

Return on Investment: +5.94%

Here's the stats based ignoring value:

Number of Tips: 41

Winning Bets: 31
Losing Bets: 10

Strike Rate: 75.61%

Profit/Loss: -£0.52

Return on Investment: -1.27%

This assumes laying for a liability of £1 at exchange odds and 5% commission paid on winnings.

Ignoring value, we make a profit of -1.27%

Not ignoring value gives a profit of 5.94%

On the morrow, malchicks.

[Stephynbouby]

Q. What do you call a woman who burns her bills?

A. Bernadette

[Stephynbouby]

There are no selections today.

On the morrow malchicks.

[Stephynbouby]

Patient: Doctor, I've broken my leg in two places.

Doctor: Well don't go to those two places again.

[Stephynbouby]

Today's selection, Stolberg, runs in the 4pm race a Limerick. Lay it if the odds are 3/1 or less just before the off. Otherwise, leave it alone.

As usual, I will post the results after the race.

[Stephynbouby]

Today's selection, Stolberg, runs in the 4pm race a Limerick. Lay it if the odds are 3/1 or less just before the off. Otherwise, leave it alone.

As usual, I will post the results after the race.

And the odds on Stolberg fall to 3/1 and it was a bet. Unfortunately, the horse won and we lost our bet.

Here's the stats based on Value:

Number of Tips: 42
Number of No Bets: 26

Winning Bets: 11
Losing Bets: 5

Strike Rate: 68.75%

Profit/Loss: -£0.11

Return on Investment: -0.69%

Here's the stats based ignoring value:

Number of Tips: 42

Winning Bets: 31
Losing Bets: 11

Strike Rate: 73.81%

Profit/Loss: -£1.52

Return on Investment: -3.62%

This assumes laying for a liability of £1 at exchange odds and 5% commission paid on winnings.

Ignoring value, we make a loss of 3.62%

Not ignoring value gives a loss of 0.69%

It's still early days with the system.

On the morrow, malchicks.

[Stephynbouby]

A nun was in the bath and there was a knock at the door. "Who is it?" said the nun. "Blind man" came back the reply. If he's blind, it will be OK, thought the nun so she got out the bath and opened the door stark naked. "Nice boobs" he said, "Where do you want the blind?".

[RandallSes]

no tip to day

[Stephynbouby]

Today, there are 3 tips:

The first, Double Shuffle, runs in the 3:45 at Ayr. Only lay it to lose if the odds, close to the off are less than or equal to 3/1.

The second, Ron's Dream, runs in the 4:45 at Ayr. Only lay it to lose if the odds, close to the off are less than or equal to 3/1.

The third, Warrantor, runs in the 5:40 at Southwell. Only lay it to lose if the odds, close to the off are less than 15/8.